Challenge Paper 2: How resilient are escapes out of poverty?

Once a household has escaped poverty it is far from guaranteed that its members will continue to live at a level above the poverty line. Evidence from nine three-wave panel datasets (surveys which returned to interview the same household at three points in time) shows that at least 15% of households that escape poverty return to it in the future. In one case this proportion is 60%.

Even if a household escapes poverty and remains out of it, this does not mean that its living standards continue to improve. Education, and particularly having the second four years of primary education or more, emerges as extremely important to sustain poverty escapes, as does land. The paper discusses a range of policies, including life-cycle investments in education, policies to secure access to land by the poorest people and local economic development policies all which can promote resilient poverty escapes and improve the quality of those escapes. 

Authors: Lucy Scott, Katharina Hanifnia, Andrew Shepherd, Milu Muyanga and Elsa Valli.

Click here to download Challenge Paper 2